Kinross Gold is a Canada-based gold producer, producing roughly 2 million gold equivalent ounces in 2025... Show more
Kinross Gold Corporation is a Canadian-based senior gold mining company with operating mines and development projects in the United States, Brazil, Mauritania, Chile, and Canada. Its core assets include the high-producing Paracatu mine in Brazil, Tasiast in Mauritania, and U.S. operations at Fort Knox, Round Mountain, and Bald Mountain, alongside La Coipa in Chile. The company trades on both the New York Stock Exchange and the Toronto Stock Exchange.
Kinross is widely followed because of its diversified production base, disciplined cost management, and a development pipeline anchored by the Great Bear project in Ontario and the Lobo-Marte project in Chile. Investors track the stock closely as a leveraged way to gain exposure to gold prices, given that rising bullion prices flow directly into the company's realized revenue and margins.
Over the trailing 30 days, KGC delivered a gain of approximately 32.7%, moving from a closing price of $23.10 on July 31 to roughly $30.66 at the latest session. The advance accelerated in mid-August, when the stock pushed through the $30 level before reaching an intraday peak near $32.9 in late August and then consolidating.
The three-month picture tells a more complex story. From a level near $29 in early June, the stock first slid into the low-$22 range by mid-July before reversing sharply higher. That leaves the quarter-to-date change closer to the mid-single digits, even though the recent momentum has been strongly positive. In other words, the 30-day surge represents a decisive rebound from a mid-year trough rather than a steady climb.
The dominant catalyst was the rally in gold itself. Bullion broke out sharply in August, jumping roughly 4.4% in a single overnight move to around $4,523 per ounce and holding above $4,500. The advance followed a drop in the U.S. dollar and lower long-term Treasury yields after the U.S. Treasury announced plans to increase longer-dated bond buybacks, combined with renewed investor focus on gold as a store of value.
Fundamentals reinforced the move. On July 29, Kinross reported second-quarter adjusted earnings of $0.71 per share, beating the $0.66 consensus estimate, while revenue rose 29.5% year over year to about $2.22 billion. The average realized gold price climbed 36.5% to $4,483 per ounce, more than offsetting a modest decline in attributable production.
Additional support came from S&P Global Ratings, which on August 6 upgraded Kinross's long-term issuer credit rating to 'BBB' from 'BBB-', citing improved credit measures and a strong net cash position. Institutional interest also picked up, with notable investors adding positions during the period.
Over the full quarter, KGC's narrative has been shaped by both gold-price volatility and company-specific execution. Earlier in the period, a pullback in gold and broader commodity-market weakness dragged the stock toward the low-$22 range, erasing much of the gains from earlier in the year. Sentiment then shifted as gold prices stabilized and ultimately surged, allowing the stock to recover.
Company fundamentals remained solid throughout. Kinross generated more than $725 million in free cash flow in the second quarter and ended June with about $2.7 billion in cash and $1.9 billion in net cash. Management also advanced its growth pipeline, announcing an updated economics study for Lobo-Marte and completing the first blast of the exploration decline at Great Bear in late July. These milestones, together with the improving gold-price backdrop, underpinned the stock's turnaround.
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Looking ahead, the key variable for KGC remains the price of gold, which is influenced by U.S. dollar strength, Treasury yields, and inflation expectations. Investors should also monitor Kinross's production and cost execution against its 2026 guidance of roughly 2.0 million gold-equivalent ounces at an all-in sustaining cost of about $1,730 per ounce.
Company-specific catalysts include progress on the Great Bear and Lobo-Marte development projects, upcoming earnings releases, and any updates to the company's return-of-capital framework. Macroeconomic risks, including commodity-price swings and cost inflation in U.S. operations, also warrant attention.
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Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.
The 10-day moving average for KGC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Following a +7.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KGC advanced for three days, in 264 of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 258 of 327 cases where KGC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for KGC moved out of overbought territory on August 28, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 72%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KGC as a result. In 49 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KGC turned negative on September 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 59 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 59 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KGC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
KGC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 32 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.579) is normal, around the industry mean (4.097). P/E Ratio (11.076) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.240). KGC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (2.505). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.153) is also within normal values, averaging (7.380).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KGC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a company, which engages in gold mining and explorations
Industry PreciousMetals